Estudio de las determinantes que inciden en el crecimiento de las exportaciones de cacao orgánico en Ecuador.

Abstract

This research called "Study of the determinants that affect the growth of organic cocoa exports in Ecuador" where the theoretical basis of the history of cocoa and the profile of the country as an exporter, highlighting the infrastructure, roads and the Ecuadorian soil conditions for the cultivation of fruit. The methodology of mixed approach was selected with the application of a descriptive - multivariate analysis applying time series and FORECAST that resulted in a relation of the variables: crops and exports, finding that the R squared is 0.72 what it means that the model is accepted by approaching 1. It showed a growth of 199.7% from 2007 to 2017 in the exported FOB value, likewise of 31.03% in the harvest between these periods. It was determined that the country of greatest destination of the product is the United States, so it is suggested to maintain and strengthen bilateral relations. Finally, strategies were established through the application of Porter, PESTAL and crossed SWOT analysis, accompanied by a budget and application schedule.