Análisis de la incidencia de la migración venezolana en la economía informal de Guayaquil al 2022.

Abstract

The purpose of this quantitative-descriptive research was to analyze the incidence of Venezuelan migration in the informal economy of Guayaquil. We used the databases provided by the National Institute of Statistics and Census provided in the National Survey of Employment, Unemployment and UnderemploymentENEMDU (applied to nationals and foreigners in September 2020). The data analysis was performed from a situational approach (combinatorial model) and from a probabilistic approach with three perspectives (linear probabilistic regression model, logit logistic distribution model, and probit normal distribution model). The results showed that the educational level of the people, the place of employment, the number of employees and the branch of activities, are those that most affect the informal economy, with Venezuelan migration having the least impact; from which it is recommended, to promote strategies according to the variables that most affect the informal economy of the city; and as for Venezuelan migrants, to work on economic policies aimed at the documentation of migrants with respect to the validation so that they can work in their area of knowledge.