Análisis de las tarifas spot de contenedores y su impacto en los principales productos de la ruta comercial entre Ecuador y China.

Abstract

In recent years, the China-Ecuador trade relationship has been strengthened due to the different trade agreements in which both participate. This research presents the preliminary results on the role of maritime transport rates in the trade relationship between China-Ecuador; identify the variables that determine the costs of maritime transport for imports, exports and analyze the effect of these costs on the China-Ecuador trade route. The analysis of the dependence of freight with various factors, economic, social, climatic, etc. is carried out. Consequently, the current increase in tariffs and the devaluation of the yuan may affect trade relations with those who are one step away from becoming the first trade partner to dethrone the United States, which is why; statistically, through correlations, mathematical reasons and regression techniques, it was sought to determine if Ecuador has suffered any impact due to the constant variability of spot rates of containers, specifically in relation to GDP, to foreign trade that it develops in general and specifically with China (variables considered from 2015 to 2019). The results of the analysis indicated that in effect there is a correlation between the tariffs and the value of the yuan in addition to its relationship with Ecuadorian imports and exports.