Análisis de la variabilidad del precio del banano convencional de exportación y su incidencia financiera en la empresa Hoyos Garcés S.A.

Abstract

The present investigation is developed around Hoyos Garcés S.A., company dedicated to the export and commercialization of conventional and organic banana boxes to different markets such as Europe, the United States, Russia and the Middle East. This investigation is looking to analyze the variation of the price of the conventional cash of the banana and its effect in the future financial decisions of the company, by means of a linear regression analysis, taking as reference the last five years of operation. The work was classified into five chapters, seeking to progressively develop the specific objectives set out in the research. Within the chapters I and II the work methodology was carried out, where the model used was based on different studies related to the topic to be treated. A description of the current situation of the banana market was presented for chapter III, which was complemented by the presentation of information from the company under study, Hoyos Garcés S.A. The IV chapter corresponded to the analysis of the price sensitivity of the conventional banana box, which was interpreted by means of graphs that showed the fluctuation of said price and financial ratios that sought to explain how the company reacted to these variations. Finally, in the V chapter the results of the investigation were shown and evaluated by means of a regression analysis to later make a forecast of the results of the company Hoyos Garcés SA, taking into account the data studied previously, in order to have a forecast about the amount of boxes sold in the coming years.